2025 Summer Housing Forecast: Insights from a Top Phoenix Realtor

If you’re trying to figure out where the Phoenix housing market is headed this summer, you’re not alone. I’ve dug into the latest data and trends so you can move with confidence. Here are the key points I shared in the video above—written from my perspective as someone who lives and breathes Phoenix real estate every day.


Phoenix Market at a Glance

The Valley is in a transitional phase. We saw modest appreciation in 2024, but that momentum is cooling. As of early 2025, home values are up roughly 1.5 percent, and that number is drifting lower. Rising insurance premiums and elevated mortgage rates are adding pressure, and I expect prices to flatten—or even dip a bit—over the next few months.

Rising Inventory, Slower Sales

Inventory has climbed 35 percent year‑over‑year, yet fewer homes are actually changing hands. It’s not a lack of interest—buyers and sellers are simply handcuffed by today’s rates and prices. Many homeowners are sitting on ultra‑low mortgages they don’t want to surrender, while would‑be buyers are hoping rates retreat.

Interest Rates: The Real Culprit

When rates finally ease—even a little—I believe we’ll see a surge of pent‑up demand. Until then, we’re in a wait‑and‑see environment.

Should You Buy Now or Wait?

My advice: focus on your life plan, not market timing. If you’ll stay put for two to three years or more, buying now and refinancing later often makes sense. Tools like 2‑1 buydowns and $7,000 buyer grants (available in parts of Phoenix) can soften the upfront cost and help you get in the door sooner.

Explore available homes in →

Advice for Sellers

If you’re thinking of selling, set realistic expectations. Price reductions are becoming the norm, and sellers who price aggressively and offer incentives win. My “Sell Like a Builder” strategy—which includes interest‑rate buydowns—helps listings stand out in a crowded field.

Ready to list? Start here →


Let’s Tackle Your 2025 Move Together

Whether you’re buying your first home, selling a rental, or relocating across town, my team and I have the insight and strategy to guide you through today’s shifting market.

👉 Get a personalized market analysis or tap into off‑market opportunities in Phoenix’s most desirable neighborhoods.

Related Resources

You May Also Like These Posts

Have a Question About The Market?

We're here to help answer any questions you might have about the market, real estate, heck even dinner recommendations (we know this state well).

Don't miss out. Be the First to know.

Get our Free COVID-19 real estate news and updates delivered to your inbox so you can navigate these tricky market conditions with confidence.

Schedule Your Free Phone Consultation

  • This field is hidden when viewing the form
    Check all that apply
    I agree to be contacted by eXp Realty and the Gluch Group via call, email, text, AI voice call, Community or similar automated means. To opt-out, reply "stop" at any time. Message frequency varies & msg/data rates may apply. Click here for privacy policy.

Buy A Home

  • The first step towards buying the home of your dreams is a free phone consultation. The call takes just a few minutes and allows us to learn more about your home buying goals so that we can best serve you and point you in the right direction. Fill out the form below to book that 5 minute call.
  • This field is hidden when viewing the form
    Check all that apply
    I agree to be contacted by eXp Realty and the Gluch Group via call, email, text, AI voice call, Community or similar automated means. To opt-out, reply "stop" at any time. Message frequency varies & msg/data rates may apply. Click here for privacy policy.

Sell Your Home

  • The first step towards selling your home for top dollar is a free phone consultation. The call takes just a few minutes and allows us to learn more about your goals so that we can best serve you and point you in the right direction. Fill out the form below to book that 5 minute call.
  • This field is hidden when viewing the form
    Check all that apply
    I agree to be contacted by eXp Realty and the Gluch Group via call, email, text, AI voice call, Community or similar automated means. To opt-out, reply "stop" at any time. Message frequency varies & msg/data rates may apply. Click here for privacy policy.
Text Us Call Us