2025 Summer Housing Forecast: Insights from a Top Phoenix Realtor
If you’re trying to figure out where the Phoenix housing market is headed this summer, you’re not alone. I’ve dug into the latest data and trends so you can move with confidence. Here are the key points I shared in the video above—written from my perspective as someone who lives and breathes Phoenix real estate every day. The Valley is in a transitional phase. We saw modest appreciation in 2024, but that momentum is cooling. As of early 2025, home values are up roughly 1.5 percent, and that number is drifting lower. Rising insurance premiums and elevated mortgage rates are adding pressure, and I expect prices to flatten—or even dip a bit—over the next few months. Inventory has climbed 35 percent year‑over‑year, yet fewer homes are actually changing hands. It’s not a lack of interest—buyers and sellers are simply handcuffed by today’s rates and prices. Many homeowners are sitting on ultra‑low mortgages they don’t want to surrender, while would‑be buyers are hoping rates retreat. When rates finally ease—even a little—I believe we’ll see a surge of pent‑up demand. Until then, we’re in a wait‑and‑see environment. My advice: focus on your life plan, not market timing. If you’ll stay put for two to three years or more, buying now and refinancing later often makes sense. Tools like 2‑1 buydowns and $7,000 buyer grants (available in parts of Phoenix) can soften the upfront cost and help you get in the door sooner. Explore available homes in → If you’re thinking of selling, set realistic expectations. Price reductions are becoming the norm, and sellers who price aggressively and offer incentives win. My “Sell Like a Builder” strategy—which includes interest‑rate buydowns—helps listings stand out in a crowded field. Ready to list? Start here → Whether you’re buying your first home, selling a rental, or relocating across town, my team and I have the insight and strategy to guide you through today’s shifting market. 👉 Get a personalized market analysis or tap into off‑market opportunities in Phoenix’s most desirable neighborhoods.
Phoenix Market at a Glance
Rising Inventory, Slower Sales
Interest Rates: The Real Culprit
Should You Buy Now or Wait?
Advice for Sellers
Let’s Tackle Your 2025 Move Together